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Ciudad de Murcia vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019 game between Ciudad de Murcia and Estudiantes de Murcia CF finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ciudad de Murcia
20%
Draws
51%
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciudad de Murcia come out ahead of Estudiantes de Murcia CF on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Estudiantes de Murcia CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 22%
Estudiantes de Murcia CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Murcia Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF
1:1
Sep 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:2
Jan 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF
3:2
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
2:1
Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Murcia 24 / 100
Estudiantes de Murcia CF 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Murcia Estudiantes de Murcia CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes de Murcia CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes de Murcia CF let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ciudad de Murcia scored in 66% of their last 38 games.

Solid form: Ciudad de Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Murcia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Murcia

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
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Estudiantes de Murcia CF

(Away)
19 May
Lorca FC
1 : 0
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
12 May
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 1
La Union (Malacitano)
05 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 2
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
01 May
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
27 Apr
EDMF Churra
2 : 1
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yeclano 42 27 8 7 88:30 89
2 Lorca Deportiva 42 28 5 9 69:28 89
3 Lorca FC 42 22 14 6 73:28 80
4 EDMF Churra 42 23 8 11 63:50 77
5 CA Pulpileno 42 21 13 8 65:41 76
6 Aguilas FC 42 20 14 8 56:33 74
7 UCAM Murcia B 42 16 15 11 52:42 63
8 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 42 17 11 14 53:51 62
9 Deportiva Minera 42 14 13 15 45:55 55
10 Mazarron FC 42 14 12 16 48:56 54
11 Club Olimpico de Totana 42 15 9 18 54:64 54
12 UD Los Garres 42 13 14 15 36:48 53
13 Minerva 42 14 9 19 44:53 51
14 Real Murcia B 42 14 9 19 56:64 51
15 Muleno CF 42 12 13 17 44:59 49
16 Huercal-Overa CF 42 14 6 22 56:68 48
17 FC Cartagena SAD B 42 11 15 16 51:53 48
18 Ciudad de Murcia 42 12 8 22 43:70 44
19 La Union (Malacitano) 42 12 7 23 42:55 43
20 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 42 10 12 20 37:55 42
21 CD Algar 42 9 8 25 29:71 35
22 Ciudad Cieza 42 10 5 27 36:66 32
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)