Sport Picks
Ciudad de Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 
Match Events
87'
87'
Martinez F.
90'
90'
Garcia Alcala Cuenca C.
90'
90'
Garcia Alcala Cuenca C.
AI Match Summary
Ciudad de Murcia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad de Murcia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Lorca Deportiva have won more games recently than Ciudad de Murcia.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad de Murcia | Lorca Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 40 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva
1:0
Oct 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Lorca Deportiva vs Ciudad de Murcia
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva
0:2
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Lorca Deportiva
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciudad de Murcia Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Lorca Deportiva Compare
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad de Murcia 42 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad de Murcia Lorca Deportiva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lorca Deportiva conceded in 68% of 40 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Ciudad de Murcia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ciudad de Murcia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Lorca Deportiva
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad de Murcia
(Home) 12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1 Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1 Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Montecasillas
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1 Balsicas Atletico
07 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Real Murcia B
31 Mar
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Molinense
Page 1 of 3
Lorca Deportiva
(Away) 03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0 Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0 CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1 Ilicitano
Page 1 of 8
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1 Lorca Deportiva
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
15 Aug
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
03 May
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
19 Apr
Aguilas FC
2 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 53:19 | 78 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 44:24 | 68 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 42:24 | 62 |
| 5 | Caravaca | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:32 | 61 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 64:30 | 59 |
| 7 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 60:34 | 59 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 39:23 | 52 |
| 9 | Muleno CF | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 10 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 12 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | 36 |
| 13 | Bullense | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:65 | 36 |
| 14 | Balsicas Atletico | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:53 | 36 |
| 15 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:43 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Algar | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:65 | 29 |
| 18 | Montecasillas | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 31:90 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
