Sport Picks
Ciudad de Murcia vs Molinense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 
Match Events
17'
17'
Lopez S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Ciudad de Murcia and Molinense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molinense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Molinense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Molinense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Molinense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 18%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad de Murcia | Molinense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 43 |
| Wins | 6 | 25 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.98 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Molinense
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Ciudad de Murcia
2:1
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Molinense
2:2
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciudad de Murcia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Molinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad de Murcia 28 / 100
Molinense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad de Murcia Molinense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Molinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Molinense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 43 outings.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Ciudad de Murcia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ciudad de Murcia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Molinense
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad de Murcia
(Home) 12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1 Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1 Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Montecasillas
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1 Balsicas Atletico
07 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Real Murcia B
31 Mar
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Molinense
Page 1 of 3
Molinense
(Away) 04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2 Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0 Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2 San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4 Molinense
Page 1 of 9
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Molinense
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0 Molinense
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4 Molinense
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0 Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2 Molinense
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 53:19 | 78 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 44:24 | 68 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 42:24 | 62 |
| 5 | Caravaca | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:32 | 61 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 64:30 | 59 |
| 7 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 60:34 | 59 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 39:23 | 52 |
| 9 | Muleno CF | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 10 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 12 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | 36 |
| 13 | Bullense | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:65 | 36 |
| 14 | Balsicas Atletico | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:53 | 36 |
| 15 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:43 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Algar | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:65 | 29 |
| 18 | Montecasillas | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 31:90 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
