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Ciudad de Murcia vs Pinatar

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 game between Ciudad de Murcia and Pinatar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ciudad de Murcia
35%
Draws
42%
Pinatar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ciudad de Murcia haven't matched Pinatar's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Pinatar taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 10%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Murcia Pinatar
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Pinatar
1:1
Sep 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Murcia 10 / 100
Pinatar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Murcia Pinatar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Murcia scored in 66% of their last 38 games.

Pinatar let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Ciudad de Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Murcia VS Pinatar
0.63 Goals Scored 4
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Murcia

(Home)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 8

Pinatar

(Away)
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1
EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3
Pinatar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 64:16 78
2 Aguilas FC 34 24 5 5 62:29 77
3 E.G. El Palmar 34 20 6 8 71:30 66
4 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 34 19 6 9 58:39 63
5 Yeclano 34 18 8 8 52:27 62
6 La Union CF 34 16 11 7 51:38 59
7 Huercal-Overa CF 34 14 8 12 42:41 50
8 Real Murcia B 34 15 4 15 45:39 49
9 Deportiva Minera 34 13 7 14 56:61 46
10 Muleno CF 34 13 6 15 40:48 45
11 Estudiantes de Murcia CF 34 12 5 17 50:42 41
12 EDMF Churra 34 12 5 17 37:45 41
13 Ciudad de Murcia 34 11 6 17 45:56 39
14 CA Pulpileno 34 8 11 15 33:43 35
15 Pinatar 34 8 7 19 41:59 31
16 Plus Ultra 34 7 10 17 35:55 31
17 EF Alhama 34 6 8 20 39:69 26
18 Caravaca 34 3 7 24 29:113 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)