Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad Lorca vs CD Alquerias

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Lorca in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Lorca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ciudad Lorca
15%
Draws
85%
CD Alquerias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alquerias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Alquerias have won more games recently than Ciudad Lorca.
  • CD Alquerias are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 10%
CD Alquerias Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad Lorca CD Alquerias
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 28 21
Goals Scored 0.73 0.7
Goals Conceded 4.3 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs CD Alquerias
1:0
Sep 9, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
CD Alquerias vs Ciudad Lorca
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
CD Alquerias 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad Lorca CD Alquerias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alquerias Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alquerias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Difficult form: CD Alquerias registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ciudad Lorca scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciudad Lorca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad Lorca

(Home)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron FC
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
Page 1 of 7

CD Alquerias

(Away)
18 May
CD Alquerias
2 : 1
Ad Ceuti Atletico
10 May
Ciudad Cieza
5 : 2
CD Alquerias
04 May
CD Alquerias
1 : 3
Sangonera
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lorqu
0 : 0
CD Alquerias
20 Apr
CD Alquerias
1 : 2
Yeclano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)