Sport Picks
Civitanovese Calcio vs Recanatese Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 
Match Events
10'
10'
Bevilacqua M.
36'
36'
D'Angelo M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Civitanovese Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Recanatese have won more games recently than Civitanovese Calcio.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Civitanovese Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recanatese Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Civitanovese Calcio | Recanatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Recanatese
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Civitanovese Calcio
1:0
Feb 26, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Civitanovese Calcio vs Recanatese
1:1
Oct 23, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Civitanovese Calcio
2:2
Mar 29, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Recanatese vs Civitanovese Calcio
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Civitanovese Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Bevilacqua M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Recanatese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Civitanovese Calcio 41 / 100
Recanatese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Civitanovese Calcio Recanatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Civitanovese Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Civitanovese Calcio found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Recanatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Civitanovese Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Recanatese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Civitanovese Calcio
(Home) 11 May
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1 Civitanovese Calcio
04 May
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
27 Apr
Civitanovese Calcio
1 : 1 Recanatese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2 Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
AS Sora
3 : 1 Civitanovese Calcio
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Civitanovese Calcio
1 : 1 Recanatese
06 Apr
Civitanovese Calcio
2 : 2 Termoli
23 Mar
Civitanovese Calcio
0 : 1 Teramo
02 Mar
Civitanovese Calcio
0 : 0 Vigor Senigallia
16 Feb
Civitanovese Calcio
1 : 1 Ancona
Page 1 of 3
Recanatese
(Away) 04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3 Maceratese
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1 Recanatese
20 Sept
Recanatese
0 : 0 Montecchio Gallo
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1 Foligno
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1 Recanatese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1 Recanatese
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1 Recanatese
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2 Recanatese
12 Apr
Maceratese
2 : 1 Recanatese
29 Mar
Calcio Chieti
2 : 1 Recanatese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)
