Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cjarlins Muzane vs Montebelluna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Crestani A.

AI Match Summary

Montebelluna in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montebelluna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Cjarlins Muzane
15%
Draws
21%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cjarlins Muzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Cjarlins Muzane at 1.4 per game, Montebelluna at 1.07.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Cjarlins Muzane taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cjarlins Muzane Clean Sheet 68%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cjarlins Muzane Montebelluna
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Cjarlins Muzane
3:2
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Montebelluna
0:1
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Cjarlins Muzane
0:0
Sep 17, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cjarlins Muzane vs Montebelluna
3:1
Apr 9, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Cjarlins Muzane
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cjarlins Muzane Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Montebelluna Compare

Top Goalscorer Crestani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cjarlins Muzane 95 / 100
Montebelluna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cjarlins Muzane Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cjarlins Muzane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cjarlins Muzane scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Montebelluna conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Cjarlins Muzane has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cjarlins Muzane VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cjarlins Muzane

(Home)
03 Oct
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
0 : 3
Cjarlins Muzane
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
12 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
4 : 1
Campodarsego
Page 1 of 6

Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)