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Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Wentworth Park 2, Howrah
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Milicich N.
79' Event
Lynch R.
90'
Karia B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Tasmania game between Clarence Zebras and Glenorchy Knights finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clarence Zebras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Clarence Zebras
15%
Draws
46%
Glenorchy Knights
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Glenorchy Knights

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Glenorchy Knights carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Clarence Zebras a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 12%
Glenorchy Knights Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras Glenorchy Knights
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights
2:0
Sep 3, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights
1:5
May 23, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras
3:0
Mar 14, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Glenorchy Knights vs Clarence Zebras
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Milicich N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lynch R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Glenorchy Knights Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 56 / 100
Glenorchy Knights 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras Glenorchy Knights

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clarence Zebras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Glenorchy Knights conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Clarence Zebras scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Clarence Zebras remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS Glenorchy Knights
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Clarence Zebras

(Home)
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
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Glenorchy Knights

(Away)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
1 : 2
Devonport
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
10 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
0 : 2
Kingborough Lions
04 Jul
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 2
Clarence Zebras
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