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Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Wentworth Park 2, Howrah
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Luttmer E.
41' Event
Pitt R.
72' Event
Wright E.

AI Match Summary

Kingborough Lions in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kingborough Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Clarence Zebras
15%
Draws
51%
Kingborough Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kingborough Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Clarence Zebras haven't matched Kingborough Lions's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kingborough Lions have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%
Kingborough Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras Kingborough Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.43 2.53
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras
3:1
May 23, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
0:4
Sep 6, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Kingborough Lions vs Clarence Zebras
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
1:4
May 10, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clarence Zebras Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kingborough Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Luttmer E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pitt R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 34 / 100
Kingborough Lions 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras Kingborough Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kingborough Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Clarence Zebras's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kingborough Lions has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Clarence Zebras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS Kingborough Lions
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Clarence Zebras

(Home)
15 Aug
Launceston City
2 : 1
Clarence Zebras
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
18 Jul
Riverside Olympic
2 : 4
Clarence Zebras
11 Jul
Clarence Zebras
1 : 2
Launceston City
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Kingborough Lions

(Away)
29 Aug
South Hobart
4 : 2
Kingborough Lions
22 Aug
Kingborough Lions
5 : 0
Launceston City
15 Aug
Devonport
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
08 Aug
Kingborough Lions
3 : 1
Clarence Zebras
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
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