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Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Wentworth Park 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Maddock R.
67' Event
Morton N.
71' Event
Tooze S.

AI Match Summary

South Hobart in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Hobart.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Clarence Zebras
6%
Draws
90%
South Hobart
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Hobart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Clarence Zebras haven't matched South Hobart's recent run of results.
  • Model gives South Hobart a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors South Hobart here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Clarence Zebras Clean Sheet 10%
South Hobart Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clarence Zebras South Hobart
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.75 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
2:5
Jun 28, 2025 NPL Tasmania
South Hobart vs Clarence Zebras
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 NPL Tasmania
Clarence Zebras vs South Hobart
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clarence Zebras Compare

Top Goalscorer Tooze S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

South Hobart Compare

Top Goalscorer Maddock R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morton N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clarence Zebras 10 / 100
South Hobart 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clarence Zebras South Hobart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Clarence Zebras scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

South Hobart's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Clarence Zebras went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clarence Zebras VS South Hobart
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%