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Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hayhurst W.
79' Event
Holmes B.
81' Event
Gallimore D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Cleethorpes and Curzon Ashton finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curzon Ashton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cleethorpes
15%
Draws
39%
Curzon Ashton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cleethorpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Curzon Ashton haven't matched Cleethorpes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cleethorpes a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 20%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cleethorpes Curzon Ashton
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.65 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton
1:3
Oct 2, 2021 FA Cup
Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cleethorpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallimore D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Curzon Ashton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hayhurst W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holmes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cleethorpes 58 / 100
Curzon Ashton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cleethorpes Curzon Ashton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curzon Ashton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Cleethorpes scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Cleethorpes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cleethorpes VS Curzon Ashton
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cleethorpes

(Home)
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Cleethorpes
1 : 3
Curzon Ashton
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0
Whitby
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
18 Aug
Cleethorpes
2 : 1
Alfreton
Page 1 of 7

Curzon Ashton

(Away)
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Ashton United
28 Aug
Cleethorpes
1 : 3
Curzon Ashton
25 Aug
Warrington Town
0 : 4
Curzon Ashton
22 Aug
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2
Guiseley
18 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 2
Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 8 6 1 1 23:5 19
2 Avro 8 6 1 1 26:16 19
3 Redcar Athletic 8 5 3 0 15:4 18
4 Warrington Town 8 5 2 1 17:10 17
5 Guiseley 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
6 Bury FC 8 4 1 3 15:8 13
7 Curzon Ashton 8 4 1 3 16:10 13
8 Gainsborough 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
9 Workington 8 4 1 3 14:14 13
10 Alfreton 8 4 0 4 15:9 12
11 Warrington Rylands 8 4 0 4 11:12 12
12 Ashton United 8 3 2 3 10:8 11
13 Hyde 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
14 AFC Emley 8 2 4 2 8:11 10
15 Lancaster 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
16 Whitby 8 3 0 5 11:23 9
17 Ilkeston 8 2 1 5 5:18 7
18 Leek Town 8 1 3 4 15:16 6
19 Quorn 8 1 3 4 11:19 6
20 Bamber Bridge 8 1 3 4 11:22 6
21 Stockton 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
22 United of Manchester 8 0 2 6 8:18 2
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