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Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hayhurst W.
79' Event
Holmes B.
81' Event
Gallimore D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Cleethorpes and Curzon Ashton finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curzon Ashton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Cleethorpes
15%
Draws
40%
Curzon Ashton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cleethorpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Curzon Ashton haven't matched Cleethorpes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cleethorpes a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 20%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cleethorpes Curzon Ashton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton
1:3
Oct 2, 2021 FA Cup
Curzon Ashton vs Cleethorpes
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cleethorpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallimore D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Curzon Ashton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hayhurst W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holmes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cleethorpes 76 / 100
Curzon Ashton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cleethorpes Curzon Ashton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cleethorpes's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Curzon Ashton let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Cleethorpes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cleethorpes VS Curzon Ashton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cleethorpes

(Home)
20 Oct
Guiseley
2 : 1
Cleethorpes
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0
Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0
Hyde
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

Curzon Ashton

(Away)
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0
Curzon Ashton
13 Oct
Warrington Rylands
5 : 1
Curzon Ashton
10 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Hyde
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Stalybridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 15 10 4 1 33:13 34
2 Cleethorpes 14 9 3 2 31:9 30
3 Guiseley 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Avro 14 9 1 4 37:27 28
5 Gainsborough 13 8 1 4 29:16 25
6 Workington 15 7 3 5 26:25 24
7 Warrington Town 13 6 5 2 24:19 23
8 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
9 Curzon Ashton 13 7 1 5 24:17 22
10 Alfreton 15 6 2 7 21:17 20
11 Lancaster 15 6 2 7 20:28 20
12 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
13 Whitby 14 6 1 7 20:33 19
14 Hyde 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
15 Leek Town 13 3 5 5 26:26 14
16 Ashton United 14 3 5 6 17:18 14
17 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
18 AFC Emley 14 3 5 6 15:26 14
19 Stockton 15 3 3 9 18:28 12
20 Bamber Bridge 14 2 4 8 17:34 10
21 Ilkeston 15 3 1 11 10:34 10
22 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
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