Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cleethorpes vs Hednesford

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Sterling-James O.

AI Match Summary

Hednesford in this NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hednesford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Cleethorpes
15%
Draws
32%
Hednesford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cleethorpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Hednesford have won more games recently than Cleethorpes.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Cleethorpes taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 20%
Hednesford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cleethorpes Hednesford
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.79 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Hednesford
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Hednesford vs Cleethorpes
1:0
Sep 7, 2021 FA Cup
Cleethorpes vs Hednesford
2:1
Sep 4, 2021 FA Cup
Hednesford vs Cleethorpes
1:1
Nov 15, 2017 FA Trophy
Cleethorpes vs Hednesford
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cleethorpes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hednesford Compare

Top Goalscorer Sterling-James O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cleethorpes 49 / 100
Hednesford 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cleethorpes Hednesford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cleethorpes's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hednesford let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cleethorpes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cleethorpes VS Hednesford
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cleethorpes

(Home)
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2
Newcastle Town
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6

Hednesford

(Away)
26 Sept
Hednesford
4 : 1
Radcliffe
19 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
Coventry United
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 3
Hednesford
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebburn Town 40 23 10 7 75:41 79
2 Hednesford 40 22 11 7 62:35 77
3 United of Manchester 40 21 9 10 65:41 72
4 Warrington Rylands 40 18 13 9 59:42 67
5 Stockton 40 18 12 10 62:50 63
6 Lancaster 40 17 11 12 56:45 62
7 Gainsborough 40 16 11 13 50:45 59
8 Leek Town 40 17 7 16 50:52 58
9 Cleethorpes 40 14 13 13 56:47 55
10 Ashton United 40 14 11 15 47:54 53
11 Ilkeston 40 15 7 18 52:54 52
12 Bamber Bridge 40 14 8 18 52:52 50
13 Guiseley 40 13 9 18 46:56 48
14 Warrington Town 40 12 12 16 43:63 48
15 Hyde 40 11 14 15 58:63 47
16 Rushall 40 12 11 17 48:61 47
17 Whitby 40 10 13 17 43:55 43
18 Workington 40 10 13 17 43:58 43
19 Prescot Cables 40 9 15 16 40:50 42
20 Morpeth 40 12 6 22 38:54 42
21 Stocksbridge 40 8 12 20 38:65 36
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)