Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Clermont vs Pau

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Diedhiou F.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Versini G.
Assist: Ruiz J.
62'
Beusnard S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Clermont and Pau finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Clermont
30%
Draws
35%
Pau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Very High Confidence
  • Pau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Clermont taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Clermont Clean Sheet 20%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clermont Pau
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Pau
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Clermont
3:1
Apr 11, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Clermont
2:2
Aug 16, 2024 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Pau
2:2
Apr 10, 2021 Ligue 2
Pau vs Clermont
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clermont Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Versini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clermont 85 / 100
Pau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clermont Pau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Clermont scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Pau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Solid form: Clermont remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Clermont VS Pau
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Clermont

(Home)
01 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1
Grenoble
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
22 Jul
Clermont
1 : 1
Quevilly
18 Jul
Clermont
4 : 1
Andrezieux
15 Jul
Clermont
0 : 0
Bourges 18
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Pau

(Away)
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
25 Jul
Real Sociedad B
4 : 0
Pau
21 Jul
Espanyol
4 : 0
Pau
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
11 Jul
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Pau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)