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Cliftonville vs Dungannon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Solitude
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cliftonville play Dungannon in the NIFL Premiership 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cliftonville averaged 1 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Dungannon averaged 1.13 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. In past meetings, Cliftonville won 2, Dungannon won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Cliftonville and 1.44 for Dungannon. This points to a Cliftonville double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cliftonville
33%
Draws
40%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cliftonville has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dungannon.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Dungannon.
  • Cup tournament structure in NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 16%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cliftonville Dungannon
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Dungannon
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Dungannon
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Irish Cup
Cliftonville vs Dungannon
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Cliftonville
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Cliftonville vs Dungannon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cliftonville Compare

Top Goalscorer Conlan L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer Glenny A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dillon K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cliftonville 28 / 100
Dungannon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cliftonville Dungannon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cliftonville scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Dungannon let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Cliftonville went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dungannon lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cliftonville VS Dungannon
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Dungannon3
Carrick Rangers1
Semi-finals
Linfield-
TBD-
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Final
Linfield3
Dungannon1