Sport Picks
Cliftonville vs Islandmagee
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup 2021/2022 Solitude, Belfast 
Match Events
22'
22'
Gormley J.
39'
39'
Gormley J.
43'
43'
Gormley J.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Cliftonville advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cliftonville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Islandmagee haven't matched Cliftonville's recent run of results.
- Model gives Cliftonville a 64% chance of winning this.
- Cliftonville have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cliftonville, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cliftonville Clean Sheet 14%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cliftonville | Islandmagee |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 18 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 2.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 8, 2022 Irish Cup
Cliftonville vs Islandmagee
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cliftonville Compare
Top Goalscorer Gormley J.
3 Goals Assists Leader Turner L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Islandmagee Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cliftonville 84 / 100
Islandmagee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cliftonville Islandmagee
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cliftonville Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cliftonville scored in 86% of their last 35 games.
Islandmagee's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Cliftonville stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cliftonville VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Cliftonville
(Home) 21 Aug
Linfield
1 : 0 Cliftonville
15 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 3 Cliftonville
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1 Crusaders
25 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 2 Alvechurch
21 Jul
Cliftonville
2 : 1 Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 7
07 Aug
Cliftonville
2 : 1 Crusaders
25 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 2 Alvechurch
21 Jul
Cliftonville
2 : 1 Warrenpoint
18 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 0 Newington FC
14 Jul
Cliftonville
3 : 0 Moyola
Page 1 of 4
Islandmagee
(Away) 30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4 Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0 Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3 Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1 Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2 Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0 Islandmagee
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1 Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2 Islandmagee
01 Dec
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1 Islandmagee
03 Nov
Crumlin United
1 : 3 Islandmagee
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ballyclare 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Cliftonville 5
Islandmagee 0
Coleraine 6
Windmill 0
Portadown 2
Limavady 0
Ballinamallard 2
Ards Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Crusaders 4
Knockbreda 0
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Annagh 2
Queens University 2
Newington FC 0
Dergview 2
Glentoran 3
Warrenpoint 1
Newry City 2
Ards 2
Dundela 3
Bangor FC 0
Larne 5
Linfield 4
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Ballymena 2
Loughgall 0
Institute 0
Portstewart 1
1/8-finals
Carrick Rangers 0
Cliftonville 1
Coleraine 2
Portadown 0
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 4
Annagh 1
Queens University 0
Glentoran 4
Newry City 1
Ards 0
Larne 2
Linfield 0
Ballymena 3
Portstewart 0
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 2
Coleraine 1
Crusaders 4
Dungannon 2
Glentoran 1
Newry City 0
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Crusaders 2
Newry City 0
Ballymena 1
Final
Crusaders 2
Ballymena 1
