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Clivense vs Caravaggio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Brighenti A.

AI Match Summary

Clivense in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Clivense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Clivense
30%
Draws
23%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Clivense have won more games recently than Caravaggio.
  • Clivense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Clivense Clean Sheet 68%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clivense Caravaggio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Caravaggio
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Clivense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clivense Compare

Top Goalscorer Brighenti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Caravaggio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clivense 68 / 100
Caravaggio 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clivense Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clivense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaggio has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Clivense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Clivense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caravaggio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Clivense

(Home)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

Caravaggio

(Away)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)