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Clivense vs Folgore Caratese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bright K.
90' Event
Kladar S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Clivense and Folgore Caratese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Clivense
30%
Draws
12%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clivense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Clivense come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
  • Clivense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Clivense Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clivense Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Nov 2, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Clivense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clivense Compare

Top Goalscorer Kladar S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bright K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clivense 50 / 100
Folgore Caratese 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clivense Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clivense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clivense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Folgore Caratese conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Clivense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Folgore Caratese
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Clivense

(Home)
05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0
Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1
Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0
Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0
Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0
Caravaggio
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Folgore Caratese

(Away)
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2
Folgore Caratese
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)