Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Cisse O.
71'
71'
Gasparri M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Clivense and Varesina finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Clivense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Clivense Clean Sheet 20%
Varesina Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Clivense | Varesina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Clivense vs Varesina
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Varesina vs Clivense
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Clivense Compare
Top Goalscorer Cisse O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Varesina Compare
Top Goalscorer Gasparri M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Clivense 36 / 100
Varesina 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Clivense Varesina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Varesina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Clivense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Varesina conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Clivense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Varesina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Clivense
(Home) 05 May
Arconatese
4 : 0 Clivense
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1 Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0 Brusaporto
14 Apr
Piacenza
0 : 0 Clivense
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0 Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6
28 Apr
Clivense
2 : 1 Castellanzese
21 Apr
Clivense
2 : 0 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Clivense
1 : 0 Caravaggio
24 Mar
Clivense
1 : 0 Tritium
10 Mar
Clivense
1 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
Varesina
(Away) 13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Varesina
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2 Cittadella Vis Modena
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2 Varesina
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2 Varesina
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2 Breno
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Varesina
10 May
Castellanzese
1 : 2 Varesina
03 May
Caldiero Terme
2 : 2 Varesina
19 Apr
AC Milan U23
0 : 1 Varesina
02 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 2 Varesina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
