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Clodiense vs Calvi Noale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 Aldo e Dino Ballarin, Chioggia
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Radrezza I.
(Penalty)
80' Event
Radrezza I.
90' Event
Codromaz R.

AI Match Summary

Clodiense in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Clodiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Clodiense
35%
Draws
27%
Calvi Noale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Clodiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Clodiense lately — more wins on the board than Calvi Noale.
  • Clodiense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Clodiense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Clodiense Clean Sheet 68%
Calvi Noale Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clodiense Calvi Noale
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Calvi Noale
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Clodiense
0:1
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Calvi Noale
2:2
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Calvi Noale vs Clodiense
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clodiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Radrezza I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Codromaz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Calvi Noale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clodiense 68 / 100
Calvi Noale 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clodiense Calvi Noale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clodiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clodiense's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Clodiense stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Calvi Noale conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Clodiense VS Calvi Noale
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Clodiense

(Home)
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
12 Sept
Schio
1 : 1
Clodiense
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
25 May
Legnago Salus
2 : 2
Clodiense
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
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Calvi Noale

(Away)
16 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 0
Schio
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
06 Sept
Calvi Noale
0 : 2
Mestre
03 May
Bassano Virtus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
26 Apr
Calvi Noale
1 : 0
Campodarsego
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)