Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Clodiense vs Este

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C Aldo e Dino Ballarin, Chioggia
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Gasparini J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Clodiense and Este finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clodiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Clodiense
20%
Draws
23%
Este
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Clodiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Clodiense come out ahead of Este on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Clodiense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Clodiense have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Clodiense Clean Sheet 68%
Este Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clodiense Este
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.59 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Este
1:0
May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Este
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Clodiense
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Este
1:0
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Este
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clodiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gasparini J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Este Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clodiense 68 / 100
Este 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clodiense Este

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clodiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clodiense found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Este let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Clodiense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Este's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Clodiense VS Este
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Clodiense

(Home)
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
12 Sept
Schio
1 : 1
Clodiense
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
Page 1 of 6

Este

(Away)
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
2 Luparense FC 5 3 2 0 11:2 11
3 Clodiense 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
4 Mestre 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Campodarsego 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Calcio San Dona 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
7 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
8 Legnago Salus 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
9 Conegliano 5 2 1 2 2:5 7
10 Bassano Virtus 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
11 Virtus Bolzano 5 2 0 3 4:15 6
12 Altavilla 5 1 2 2 12:7 5
13 Calvi Noale 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
14 FC Obermais 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
15 Este 5 1 1 3 3:4 4
16 Schio 5 0 3 2 1:4 3
17 Triestina 5 0 3 2 4:8 3
18 Brian Lignano 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)