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Clodiense vs Luparense FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 Aldo e Dino Ballarin, Chioggia
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rosso D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Clodiense and Luparense FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clodiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Clodiense
30%
Draws
43%
Luparense FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Clodiense come out ahead of Luparense FC on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Luparense FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Clodiense Clean Sheet 19%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clodiense Luparense FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.56 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.96 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Clodiense
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Luparense FC
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Clodiense
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Luparense FC
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Clodiense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Clodiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosso D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Luparense FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clodiense 10 / 100
Luparense FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clodiense Luparense FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Clodiense scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Luparense FC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Clodiense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clodiense VS Luparense FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Clodiense

(Home)
04 Oct
Clodiense
0 : 1
Calcio San Dona
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
12 Sept
Schio
1 : 1
Clodiense
Page 1 of 6

Luparense FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0
Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)