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Club America W vs Club Leon W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Banorte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club America W play Club Leon W in the Liga MX Women. Club America W are favorites here. Recently, Club America W averaged 2.66 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Club Leon W averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Club America W won 4, Club Leon W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.08 for Club America W and 2.12 for Club Leon W. This points to a Club America W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Club America W
15%
Draws
28%
Club Leon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Club America W picked up more points recently compared to Club Leon W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.08 vs 2.12 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Club America W Clean Sheet 10%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club America W Club Leon W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 23 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.66 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Club Leon W
4:2
Jul 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Club America W
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Club Leon W
5:0
Aug 27, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Club America W
0:1
Jan 26, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Club Leon W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club America W Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonio N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Geyse
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Razo V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.36
Avg xA / game 1.44

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club America W 53 / 100
Club Leon W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club America W Club Leon W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club America W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Club America W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club America W attacking → ← attacking Club Leon W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club America W scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Club Leon W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Club America W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Club Leon W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

76 Points in last 5 38
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.60
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.40

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624