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Club America W vs Guadalajara Chivas W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Gutierrez J.
10'
Villarreal N.
26'
Camberos S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Club America W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Club America W
6%
Draws
4%
Guadalajara Chivas W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Club America W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Club America W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Club America W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Club America W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Club America W Clean Sheet 13%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club America W Guadalajara Chivas W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club America W
3:2
Nov 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:0
Nov 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Club America W
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:2
May 18, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Club America W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club America W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerrero I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club America W 84 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club America W Guadalajara Chivas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club America W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Guadalajara Chivas W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Club America W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club America W VS Guadalajara Chivas W
2.75 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 33%
75% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Club America W

(Home)
26 Jul
Club America W
2 : 1
Tigres UANL W
24 May
Club America W
5 : 3
Washington Spirit W
20 May
Club America W
4 : 1
Gotham FC W
17 May
Club America W
3 : 0
Monterrey W
15 May
Monterrey W
1 : 0
Club America W
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Guadalajara Chivas W

(Away)
04 May
Pachuca W
2 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas W
01 May
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
25 Apr
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 1
Toluca W
21 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Tigres UANL W1
Juarez W0
Pachuca W2
Cruz Azul W6
Club America W6
Monterrey W1
Toluca W2
Guadalajara Chivas W4
Semi-finals
Tigres UANL W3
Cruz Azul W2
Club America W4
Guadalajara Chivas W0
Final
Tigres UANL W4
Club America W3