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Club America W vs Toluca W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Banorte
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Garcia G.
11' Event
Robert F.
20' Event
Robert F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Club America W and Toluca W finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club America W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Club America W
6%
Draws
4%
Toluca W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club America W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club America W come out ahead of Toluca W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Club America W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Club America W Clean Sheet 68%
Toluca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club America W Toluca W
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 21 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Toluca W
4:3
May 8, 2026 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club America W
1:7
Mar 17, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club America W vs Toluca W
2:0
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club America W
3:3
Apr 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Toluca W vs Club America W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club America W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Avilez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Toluca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Robert F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club America W 95 / 100
Toluca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club America W Toluca W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club America W scored in 86% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Toluca W conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Club America W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club America W VS Toluca W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America W4
Juarez W3
Tigres UANL W2
Toluca W4
Monterrey W5
Cruz Azul W1
Pachuca W3
Guadalajara Chivas W2
Semi-finals
Club America W11
Toluca W4
Monterrey W4
Pachuca W3
Final
Club America W3
Monterrey W1