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Club Atletico Basanez vs Fenix

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Atletico Basanez play Fenix in the Segunda Division 2006/2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Atletico Basanez averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Fenix averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Club Atletico Basanez won 1, Fenix won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2007 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Club Atletico Basanez and 1.43 for Fenix. This points to a Club Atletico Basanez double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Club Atletico Basanez
23%
Draws
34%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Club Atletico Basanez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Atletico Basanez picked up more points recently compared to Fenix.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Club Atletico Basanez Clean Sheet 17%
Fenix Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Atletico Basanez Fenix
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2007 Segunda Division
Club Atletico Basanez vs Fenix
1:1
Oct 7, 2006 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Club Atletico Basanez
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Atletico Basanez 42 / 100
Fenix 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Atletico Basanez Fenix

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Club Atletico Basanez or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Atletico Basanez attacking → ← attacking Fenix

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Atletico Basanez scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Fenix let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Club Atletico Basanez went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fenix lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 44
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Juventud1374222:1025
2Fenix1365221:1023
3Cerro Largo1364316:1922
4Atenas1346315:1018
5Plaza Colonia1353512:1518
6Racing Montevideo1345416:1017
7CA Cerro1355317:1217
8Sud America1345412:1017
9Maldonado1337315:1516
10La Luz1336414:1515
11Durazno1343615:2215
12Sisley1343614:2215
13CA Platense1334618:2613
14Club Atletico Basanez131489:207