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Club CDM vs Chilangos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Marquez D.
35' Event
Marquez D.
40'
Martinez V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 game between Club CDM and Chilangos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club CDM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Club CDM
30%
Draws
41%
Chilangos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chilangos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club CDM come out ahead of Chilangos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chilangos a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Club CDM Clean Sheet 19%
Chilangos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club CDM Chilangos
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.4 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilangos vs Club CDM
3:2
Nov 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Club CDM vs Chilangos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club CDM Compare

Top Goalscorer Marquez D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Chilangos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club CDM 28 / 100
Chilangos 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club CDM Chilangos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chilangos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club CDM's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Chilangos has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Club CDM went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club CDM VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Club CDM

(Home)
20 Apr
FC Santiago
0 : 0
Club CDM
12 Apr
Club CDM
0 : 4
FC Santiago
05 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
0 : 1
Club CDM
29 Mar
Club CDM
0 : 1
Ciervos
21 Mar
Poza Rica
1 : 1
Club CDM
Page 1 of 6

Chilangos

(Away)
19 Apr
Chilangos
3 : 2
Club CDM
13 Apr
Zitacuaro
2 : 0
Chilangos
05 Apr
Chilangos
2 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
28 Mar
Chilangos
0 : 1
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
15 Mar
Chilangos
1 : 1
Canoneros FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Ayense 28 22 2 4 81:33 73
2 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 28 19 2 7 63:24 65
3 Artesanos Metepec 28 19 3 6 47:20 61
4 Club CDM 28 17 3 8 68:27 60
5 FC Santiago 28 18 4 6 43:20 58
6 Chilpancingo 28 17 2 9 50:27 57
7 Pachuca 2 28 17 3 8 52:35 54
8 Poza Rica 28 13 2 13 42:36 44
9 Chilangos 28 11 5 12 40:41 42
10 Caja Oblatos 28 8 5 15 32:59 29
11 Huracanes Izcalli 28 7 5 16 31:45 28
12 Zitacuaro 28 6 7 15 23:50 25
13 Canoneros FC 28 5 2 21 16:49 17
14 Deportivo Dongu 28 4 1 23 29:81 15
15 Ciervos 28 3 2 23 15:85 12
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)