Sport Picks
Club Edeco Fortuna vs Cartagena La Union
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between Club Edeco Fortuna and Cartagena La Union finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cartagena La Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cartagena La Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cartagena La Union come out ahead of Club Edeco Fortuna on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Cartagena La Union taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cartagena La Union have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Club Edeco Fortuna Clean Sheet 17%
Cartagena La Union Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Edeco Fortuna | Cartagena La Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 21 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Club Edeco Fortuna
2:1
Sep 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Club Edeco Fortuna vs Cartagena La Union
1:0
Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Club Edeco Fortuna vs Cartagena La Union
0:1
Oct 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena La Union vs Club Edeco Fortuna
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Club Edeco Fortuna 10 / 100
Cartagena La Union 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Club Edeco Fortuna Cartagena La Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cartagena La Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Club Edeco Fortuna scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Cartagena La Union has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Club Edeco Fortuna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Club Edeco Fortuna VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Edeco Fortuna
(Home) 17 May
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
10 May
Club Edeco Fortuna
1 : 1 Muleno CF
03 May
Yeclano
5 : 1 Club Edeco Fortuna
26 Apr
Club Edeco Fortuna
0 : 3 Molina
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
1 : 3 Club Edeco Fortuna
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Club Edeco Fortuna
1 : 1 Muleno CF
26 Apr
Club Edeco Fortuna
0 : 3 Molina
29 Mar
Club Edeco Fortuna
1 : 1 EF Alhama
15 Mar
Club Edeco Fortuna
2 : 1 Huercal-Overa CF
22 Feb
Club Edeco Fortuna
1 : 0 Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 3
Cartagena La Union
(Away) 29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
22 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Montanesa
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
08 May
Cartagena La Union
1 : 1 Pinatar
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Montanesa
1 : 0 Cartagena La Union
15 May
Santomera
0 : 4 Cartagena La Union
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
2 : 5 Cartagena La Union
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2 Cartagena La Union
03 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 1 Cartagena La Union
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Futbol Club Jumilla | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 84:26 | 86 |
| 2 | Yeclano | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 93:38 | 84 |
| 3 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 95:36 | 84 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 82:38 | 83 |
| 5 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 84:40 | 81 |
| 6 | Pinatar | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 68:28 | 80 |
| 7 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 81:33 | 80 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 61:56 | 52 |
| 9 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 59:56 | 52 |
| 10 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 52:45 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 48:57 | 48 |
| 12 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 50:73 | 47 |
| 13 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 59:55 | 43 |
| 14 | Beniel | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54:71 | 42 |
| 15 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 44:70 | 36 |
| 16 | Base Abaran | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 26:81 | 31 |
| 17 | Bala Azul | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 47:76 | 30 |
| 18 | Mazarron FC | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 40:69 | 28 |
| 19 | CD Lumbreras | 38 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 28:127 | 18 |
| 20 | Jumilla CD | 38 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 31:111 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
