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Club Leon vs Leones Negros

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Funes Mori R.
67' Event
Funes Mori R.
74' Event
Diaz I.

AI Match Summary

Club Leon in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Club Leon
30%
Draws
37%
Leones Negros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leones Negros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leones Negros haven't matched Club Leon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Club Leon's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 20%
Leones Negros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Leones Negros
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 18 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Club Leon vs Leones Negros
3:1
Feb 15, 2015 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Leones Negros
2:1
Aug 24, 2014 Liga MX
Leones Negros vs Club Leon
1:0
Feb 11, 2012 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Club Leon
0:0
Sep 11, 2011 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Leon vs Leones Negros
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Funes Mori R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Leones Negros Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 36 / 100
Leones Negros 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Leones Negros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Leon scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Leones Negros let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Club Leon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Leones Negros
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
03 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Club Leon
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Leones Negros

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0
Leones Negros
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2
Atletico La Paz
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3
Leones Negros
30 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 1
Piratas
23 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 2
Leones Negros
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