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Club Leon vs Leones Negros

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Funes Mori R.
67' Event
Funes Mori R.
74' Event
Diaz I.

AI Match Summary

Club Leon in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Club Leon
17%
Draws
13%
Leones Negros
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Leones Negros haven't matched Club Leon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Club Leon's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 16%
Leones Negros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Leones Negros
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 2 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Club Leon vs Leones Negros
3:1
Feb 15, 2015 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Leones Negros
2:1
Aug 24, 2014 Liga MX
Leones Negros vs Club Leon
1:0
Feb 11, 2012 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Club Leon
0:0
Sep 11, 2011 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Leon vs Leones Negros
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Funes Mori R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leones Negros Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 66 / 100
Leones Negros 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Leones Negros

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Leon scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Leones Negros let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Club Leon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Leones Negros
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%