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Club Leon vs Monterrey - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Cortizo J.
Assist: Cambindo D.
45'
Chavez R.
46'
Sub
Chavez R. In: Orellano L.
Out: Chavez R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Club Leon and Monterrey finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Club Leon
20%
Draws
33%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Leon come out ahead of Monterrey on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Club Leon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monterrey here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 20%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Monterrey
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Monterrey
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Club Leon
1:0
Aug 12, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Monterrey
1:3
Apr 21, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Monterrey
0:2
Nov 11, 2024 Liga MX
Monterrey vs Club Leon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortizo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Monterrey Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 58 / 100
Monterrey 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Monterrey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Monterrey let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Club Leon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Monterrey
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
Page 1 of 6

Monterrey

(Away)
03 Oct
Monterrey
2 : 1
Toluca
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
07 Sept
Toluca
2 : 0
Monterrey
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)