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Club Leon vs Tapatio

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Club Leon and Tapatio finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Club Leon
20%
Draws
33%
Tapatio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Leon come out ahead of Tapatio on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 16%
Tapatio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon Tapatio
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.74 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Club Leon vs Tapatio
4:2
Dec 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Club Leon vs Tapatio
2:3
Apr 26, 2009 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Leon vs Tapatio
1:2
Feb 26, 2009 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Club Leon
2:3
Sep 19, 2008 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Leon vs Tapatio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon 31 / 100
Tapatio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon Tapatio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Leon found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Tapatio conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Club Leon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon VS Tapatio
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon

(Home)
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
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Tapatio

(Away)
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0
Tlaxcala
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1
Tapatio
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3
Leones Negros
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1
Tapatio
24 Aug
Tapatio
4 : 2
Zacatecas Mineros
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