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Club Leon W vs Juarez W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Martin D.
47'
Granados N.
48' Event
Solorzano A.
Assist: Kaci A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Club Leon W and Juarez W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juarez W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Club Leon W
15%
Draws
57%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Juarez W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 18%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon W Juarez W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.87 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Juarez W
0:2
Jan 10, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Club Leon W
1:0
Aug 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Juarez W
3:2
Feb 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Club Leon W
4:1
Jul 19, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Juarez W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Juarez W Compare

Top Goalscorer Solorzano A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon W 32 / 100
Juarez W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon W Juarez W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Club Leon W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Juarez W conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Club Leon W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon W VS Juarez W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon W

(Home)
28 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 5
Club America W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0
Club Leon W
Page 1 of 6

Juarez W

(Away)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)