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Club Leon W vs Puebla W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bolanos V.
Assist: Garcia M.
27' Event
Micheels B.
Assist: Lopez A.
41' Event
Bolanos V.
Assist: Aleman I.

AI Match Summary

Club Leon W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Club Leon W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Club Leon W
15%
Draws
0%
Puebla W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Club Leon W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Leon W lately — more wins on the board than Puebla W.
  • Win probability leans Club Leon W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Club Leon W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 13%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Leon W Puebla W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.87 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Puebla W
5:2
Feb 16, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Puebla W
6:0
Aug 26, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Club Leon W
0:2
Jan 16, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Club Leon W
1:2
Jul 29, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Puebla W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolanos V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Puebla W Compare

Top Goalscorer Micheels B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Leon W 84 / 100
Puebla W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Leon W Puebla W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla W let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Puebla W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Club Leon W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Club Leon W VS Puebla W
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Leon W

(Home)
28 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 5
Club America W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
29 Aug
Toluca W
1 : 0
Club Leon W
Page 1 of 6

Puebla W

(Away)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2
Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)