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Club Milano vs AC Leon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Salvi A.
67' Event
90' Event
Bonseri M.

AI Match Summary

AC Leon in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Leon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Club Milano
30%
Draws
47%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • AC Leon have won more games recently than Club Milano.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 20%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Milano AC Leon
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.12 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Club Milano vs AC Leon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Milano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonseri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Milano 32 / 100
AC Leon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Milano AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Milano's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: AC Leon conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Club Milano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Milano VS AC Leon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Milano

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2
Club Milano
Page 1 of 7

AC Leon

(Away)
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)