Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Milano vs Pistoiese

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Di Nella L.
30' Event
Rizq K.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Biagi S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Pistoiese advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Club Milano
11%
Draws
9%
Pistoiese
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Club Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pistoiese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Club Milano's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Pistoiese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pistoiese, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 68%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Milano Pistoiese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 20
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pistoiese vs Club Milano
1:0
Jan 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Club Milano vs Pistoiese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Nella L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Biagi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Milano 86 / 100
Pistoiese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Milano Pistoiese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Milano's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Club Milano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Pistoiese let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Club Milano VS Pistoiese
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Milano

(Home)
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Club Milano
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
02 Apr
Club Milano
1 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 6

Pistoiese

(Away)
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3
Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1
Pistoiese
19 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio2
Chisola0
Ligorna1
NovaRomentin2
Vado3
Sestri Levante0
Tau1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
SCD Progresso1
Pavia2
Sant'Angelo0
Prato2
Montevarchi1
Correggese2
Imolese1
Sondrio1
Breno0
Folgore Caratese2
Club Milano3
AC Milan U232
Varesina3
Brusaporto0
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Chievo0
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Vigasio2
Cjarlins Muzane1
Brian Lignano2
Luparense FC0
Mestre1
Fossombrone0
Ancona1
Foligno0
Atletico Ascoli2
Orvietana2
Siena0
Follonica Gavorrano0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Termoli0
Albalonga2
Aquila Calcio1
Grosseto0
Unipomezia1
Trastevere Calcio2
Budoni Calcio0
Martina Calcio3
Sarnese1
Ferrandina2
Francavilla3
A.C. Savoia2
Paganese1
Citta di Fasano3
Gravina0
Nocerina4
Gelbison2
Sambiase0
Reggina1
Castrumfavara3
Igea Virtus1
Enna0
Sancataldese2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio3
NovaRomentin2
Vado0
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
Pavia1
Prato1
Correggese4
Sondrio0
Club Milano3
Varesina4
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Brian Lignano0
Mestre1
Ancona1
Atletico Ascoli0
Orvietana0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Albalonga1
Unipomezia3
Trastevere Calcio1
Martina Calcio1
Francavilla2
A.C. Savoia3
Citta di Fasano4
Nocerina3
Reggina2
Castrumfavara3
Sancataldese2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza0
Correggese1
Club Milano1
Varesina0
Este1
Mestre2
Ancona2
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio0
Unipomezia1
Francavilla3
Citta di Fasano2
Nocerina2
Castrumfavara0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese2
Correggese0
Club Milano1
Mestre0
Ancona2
Unipomezia1
Francavilla1
Nocerina0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese3
Club Milano1
Ancona2
Francavilla1
Final
Pistoiese3
Ancona0