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Club Milano vs Sestri Levante

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Raggio G. S.
13'
Attuoni A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 game between Club Milano and Sestri Levante finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sestri Levante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Club Milano
20%
Draws
40%
Sestri Levante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sestri Levante carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 68%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Milano Sestri Levante
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Club Milano vs Sestri Levante
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Club Milano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Milano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sestri Levante Compare

Top Goalscorer Raggio G. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Milano 41 / 100
Sestri Levante 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Milano Sestri Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Milano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestri Levante let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sestri Levante's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Club Milano scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Milano VS Sestri Levante
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Milano

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2
Club Milano
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Sestri Levante

(Away)
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
GSD Lascaris
1 : 1
Sestri Levante
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)