Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Ientile M.
33'
33'
Di Coste G.
71'
71'
Di Nella L.
AI Match Summary
Club Milano in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sondrio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sondrio haven't matched Club Milano's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Club Milano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sondrio, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Club Milano here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Club Milano Clean Sheet 18%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Milano | Sondrio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Club Milano vs Sondrio
3:0
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Club Milano
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Club Milano vs Sondrio
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Club Milano Compare
Top Goalscorer Ientile M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Di Coste G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Sondrio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Club Milano 32 / 100
Sondrio 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Club Milano Sondrio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sondrio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sondrio conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Club Milano's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Club Milano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Club Milano VS Sondrio
2 Goals Scored 1.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Milano
(Home) 27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1 Club Milano
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1 Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0 Club Milano
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2 Club Milano
06 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1 Nibbiano & Valtidone
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20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1 Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1 Nibbiano & Valtidone
08 Aug
Club Milano
0 : 0 Castellazzo
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1 Asti Calcio
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1 NovaRomentin
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Sondrio
(Away) 02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3 Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1 Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1 Sondrio
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02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3 Sondrio
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1 Sondrio
22 Mar
AC Milan U23
2 : 2 Sondrio
01 Mar
Chievo
1 : 0 Sondrio
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
