Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Nacional vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Candido C.
19'
Mimbacas F.
33'
Garcia Lantean J. I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Club Nacional and Juventud finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Club Nacional
30%
Draws
34%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Club Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Club Nacional a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 20%
Juventud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Nacional Juventud
Matches Played 36 36
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Club Nacional
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Club Nacional
0:0
Jun 18, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
4:1
Mar 30, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Ancheta E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boggio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Larregui B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Nacional 36 / 100
Juventud 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Nacional Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Nacional found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Juventud let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Juventud registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Nacional VS Juventud
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Nacional

(Home)
21 Jul
Club Nacional
0 : 3
Tigre
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0
Club Nacional
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
Page 1 of 8

Juventud

(Away)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
11 Jul
Juventud
1 : 3
Montevideo City
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Juventud
2 : 5
Wanderers
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol64119:313
2Cerro Largo52216:28
3Central Esp.52214:38
4Racing Montevideo51403:27
5CA Cerro52034:86
6Liverpool M.51223:45
7Boston River61235:95
8Defensor Sp.50323:63
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wanderers633010:412
2Maldonado632112:611
3Club Nacional63126:710
4Montevideo City530210:99
5Juventud62138:117
6Progreso62045:96
7Albion61234:65
8Danubio50323:63
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)