Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Nacional vs Juventud

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Candido C.
19'
Mimbacas F.
33'
Garcia Lantean J. I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Club Nacional and Juventud finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Nacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Club Nacional
35%
Draws
29%
Juventud
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Club Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Club Nacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Club Nacional a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 19%
Juventud Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Nacional Juventud
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 12
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
2:2
Jun 6, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Club Nacional
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Club Nacional
0:0
Jun 18, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Juventud
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Ancheta E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boggio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Larregui B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Nacional 36 / 100
Juventud 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Nacional Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Club Nacional went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Club Nacional found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Juventud has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Club Nacional VS Juventud
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Nacional

(Home)
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2
Club Nacional
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1
Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
Club Nacional
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
Page 1 of 6

Juventud

(Away)
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0
Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1
Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 7 5 1 1 12:3 16
2 Cerro Largo 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
3 Racing Montevideo 7 2 4 1 4:3 10
4 Liverpool M. 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
5 Central Esp. 7 2 3 2 4:4 9
6 CA Cerro 7 3 0 4 6:10 9
7 Defensor Sp. 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
8 Boston River 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wanderers 7 4 3 0 12:4 15
2 Club Nacional 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
3 Maldonado 7 3 3 1 12:6 12
4 Montevideo City 7 4 0 3 11:11 12
5 Juventud 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
6 Albion 7 1 3 3 6:8 6
7 Progreso 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
8 Danubio 7 0 4 3 5:9 4
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)