Sport Picks
Club Nacional vs Tigre
South America
Copa Sudamericana Gran Parque Central, Montevideo 
Match Events
2'
2'
Elias J.
Assist: Barrionuevo A.
26'
26'
Sub
Leyes B. In: Garay M.
Out: Leyes B.
33'
33'
Martinez P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Nacional
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Club Nacional come out ahead of Tigre on wins alone.
- Club Nacional are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Club Nacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tigre, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 68%
Tigre Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Club Nacional | Tigre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Tigre vs Club Nacional
1:2
Jul 21, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Club Nacional vs Tigre
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Club Nacional Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Tigre Compare
Top Goalscorer Elias J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Russo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Club Nacional 95 / 100
Tigre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Club Nacional Tigre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Club Nacional Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Club Nacional stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Club Nacional found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Tigre has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Club Nacional VS Tigre
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Club Nacional
(Home) 05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2 Club Nacional
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1 Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0 Montevideo City
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2 Defensor Sp.
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
27 Aug
Club Nacional
0 : 0 Albion
23 Aug
Club Nacional
1 : 0 Progreso
Page 1 of 3
Tigre
(Away) 04 Oct
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1 Tigre
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1 Rosario Central
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1 Tigre
01 Sept
Tigre
0 : 0 Barracas Central
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1 Tigre
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1 Tigre
20 Aug
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Tigre
15 Aug
Aldosivi
0 : 0 Tigre
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
