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Club River Plate vs San Lorenzo

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025 Estadio River Plate
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Samudio M.
90' Event
Alonzo W.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Club River Plate and San Lorenzo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Club River Plate
33%
Draws
27%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Club River Plate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Lorenzo come out ahead of Club River Plate on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Club River Plate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Club River Plate Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club River Plate San Lorenzo
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Club River Plate vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Club River Plate
3:0
Aug 6, 2022 Division Intermedia
Club River Plate vs San Lorenzo
1:1
May 2, 2022 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Club River Plate
0:0
Dec 18, 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Club River Plate
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club River Plate Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonzo W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Samudio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club River Plate 50 / 100
San Lorenzo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club River Plate San Lorenzo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club River Plate's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

San Lorenzo let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Club River Plate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Lorenzo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926