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Club Siero vs Union Club Ceares

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Club Siero play Union Club Ceares in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Club Siero averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Union Club Ceares averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Club Siero won 0, Union Club Ceares won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Club Siero and 1.56 for Union Club Ceares. This points to a Union Club Ceares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Club Siero
27%
Draws
39%
Union Club Ceares
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Union Club Ceares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Siero picked up more points recently compared to Union Club Ceares.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Club Siero Clean Sheet 15%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Siero Union Club Ceares
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Union Club Ceares
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Club Siero
1:0
Feb 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Club Siero
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Union Club Ceares
1:5
Mar 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Club Siero
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Siero Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Union Club Ceares Compare

Top Goalscorer Serrano M. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erasmo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Siero 34 / 100
Union Club Ceares 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Siero Union Club Ceares

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Club Ceares or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Club Siero attacking → ← attacking Union Club Ceares

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Siero scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Union Club Ceares let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Club Siero went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Union Club Ceares lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 40
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418