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Club Tijuana vs Mazatlan FC

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Caliente
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Castaneda K.
Assist: Arciga R.
41'
Rivero I.
53'
Sub
Moreno Villegas O. F. In: Ovalle J.
Out: Moreno Villegas O. F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Club Tijuana and Mazatlan FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Club Tijuana
6%
Draws
4%
Mazatlan FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club Tijuana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Club Tijuana has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mazatlan FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Club Tijuana.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 16%
Mazatlan FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana Mazatlan FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Mazatlan FC
1:1
Dec 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Club Tijuana vs Mazatlan FC
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Club Tijuana
2:2
Apr 17, 2025 Liga MX
Mazatlan FC vs Club Tijuana
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Mazatlan FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Tijuana Compare

Top Goalscorer Castaneda K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mazatlan FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ovalle J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana 84 / 100
Mazatlan FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana Mazatlan FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Tijuana scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Mazatlan FC let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Club Tijuana went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mazatlan FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana VS Mazatlan FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812