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Club Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Sub
Parra L. In: Ibarra F.
Out: Parra L.
44'
Angeles L.
46'
Sub
Montano Osuna M. C. In: Martinez A.
Out: Montano Osuna M. C.

AI Match Summary

Cruz Azul W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cruz Azul W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Club Tijuana W
20%
Draws
30%
Cruz Azul W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Tijuana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cruz Azul W have won more games recently than Club Tijuana W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Club Tijuana W Clean Sheet 12%
Cruz Azul W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana W Cruz Azul W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.54 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W
1:3
Feb 15, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Club Tijuana W
4:3
Jan 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Cruz Azul W vs Club Tijuana W
1:1
Aug 23, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Cruz Azul W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Tijuana W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cruz Azul W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana W 30 / 100
Cruz Azul W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana W Cruz Azul W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Club Tijuana W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Cruz Azul W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Club Tijuana W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana W VS Cruz Azul W
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Tijuana W

(Home)
24 Oct
Club Tijuana W
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas W
17 Oct
Puebla W
1 : 1
Club Tijuana W
04 Oct
Club Tijuana W
1 : 0
Atlante W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
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Cruz Azul W

(Away)
25 Oct
Cruz Azul W
1 : 2
Toluca W
18 Oct
Monterrey W
1 : 0
Cruz Azul W
04 Oct
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 13 11 1 1 48:15 34
2 Tigres UANL W 13 10 2 1 43:12 32
3 Juarez W 12 9 0 3 18:9 27
4 Toluca W 13 8 2 3 29:20 26
5 Club Leon W 12 6 1 5 20:19 19
6 Santos Laguna W 12 5 1 6 14:22 16
7 Cruz Azul W 12 5 0 7 14:24 15
8 Atlante W 12 2 1 9 6:16 7
9 Queretaro W 13 2 0 11 11:31 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 12 10 1 1 54:12 31
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 13 10 0 3 32:13 30
3 Atletico San Luis W 12 6 1 5 24:25 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 13 5 2 6 20:24 17
5 Pachuca W 13 5 1 7 25:17 16
6 Atlas W 13 4 4 5 13:27 16
7 Club Tijuana W 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
8 Puebla W 12 1 1 10 15:42 4
9 Necaxa W 12 0 0 12 3:50 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)