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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Pantanal

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana play Pantanal in the Sul-Matogrossense. It looks like a close match. Recently, Clube de Regatas Aquidauana averaged 1.84 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. Pantanal averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Clube de Regatas Aquidauana won 1, Pantanal won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Clube de Regatas Aquidauana and 1.13 for Pantanal. This points to a Clube de Regatas Aquidauana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
35%
Draws
25%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Clube de Regatas Aquidauana picked up more points recently compared to Pantanal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 21%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Pantanal
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Pantanal
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 40 / 100
Pantanal 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Pantanal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana attacking → ← attacking Pantanal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana scored in 79% of their last 19 games.

Pantanal let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pantanal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 41
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Naviraiense953113:918
2Operario MS945014:517
3Corumbaense934210:713
4Ivinhema933310:1112
5Bataguassu933315:1712
6Dourados924315:1410
7Clube de Regatas Aquidauana924312:1310
8Pantanal923410:159
9Costa Rica91536:108
10Aguia Negra91449:137