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Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Pantanal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Clube de Regatas Aquidauana and Pantanal finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Clube de Regatas Aquidauana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
35%
Draws
13%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pantanal come out ahead of Clube de Regatas Aquidauana on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Clube de Regatas Aquidauana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 20%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Pantanal
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Pantanal
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 85 / 100
Pantanal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Pantanal let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana VS Pantanal
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

(Home)
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
15 Feb
Ivinhema
1 : 0
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
11 Feb
Aguia Negra
1 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
07 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1 : 1
Corumbaense
Page 1 of 4

Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)