Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio Juca Sampaio
Sun, Mar 30, 2025
1 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kelvin
(Penalty)
1' Event
dos Santos da Silva V. W.
Penalty Missed
2' Event
Emersonn Bastos
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Clube Sociedade Esportiva in this Copa Alagoas 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Clube Sociedade Esportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
30%
Draws
34%
SC Penedense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Clube Sociedade Esportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Clube Sociedade Esportiva lately — more wins on the board than SC Penedense.
  • Clube Sociedade Esportiva are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Alagoas 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Clube Sociedade Esportiva here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 19%
SC Penedense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Clube Sociedade Esportiva SC Penedense
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.5 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0
Jan 21, 2026 Alagoano
SC Penedense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0
Mar 26, 2025 Copa Alagoas
SC Penedense vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1:1
Feb 5, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs SC Penedense
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Clube Sociedade Esportiva 36 / 100
SC Penedense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Clube Sociedade Esportiva SC Penedense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube Sociedade Esportiva's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

SC Penedense has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: SC Penedense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Clube Sociedade Esportiva VS SC Penedense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.6
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.2
88% Over 1.5 40%
88% Over 2.5 20%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Clube Sociedade Esportiva3
CSA2
SC Penedense4
Coruripe1
Final
Clube Sociedade Esportiva2
SC Penedense1