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CO Medenine vs AS Gabes

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Taleb R.
90' Event
Fallah A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2023/2024 game between CO Medenine and AS Gabes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CO Medenine
15%
Draws
0%
AS Gabes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CO Medenine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CO Medenine come out ahead of AS Gabes on wins alone.
  • Model gives CO Medenine a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CO Medenine Clean Sheet 68%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CO Medenine AS Gabes
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 5 4
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.83 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Ligue 2
CO Medenine vs AS Gabes
1:1
Dec 10, 2023 Ligue 2
AS Gabes vs CO Medenine
2:1
May 21, 2023 Ligue 2
AS Gabes vs CO Medenine
2:0
Jan 3, 2023 Ligue 2
CO Medenine vs AS Gabes
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Ligue 2
CO Medenine vs AS Gabes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CO Medenine Compare

Top Goalscorer Taleb R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

AS Gabes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fallah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CO Medenine 77 / 100
AS Gabes 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CO Medenine AS Gabes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CO Medenine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Gabes let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

AS Gabes's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

CO Medenine's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CO Medenine VS AS Gabes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CO Medenine

(Home)
27 Sept
CO Medenine
1 : 2
Kalaa
13 Jun
CO Medenine
1 : 0
Moknine
07 Jun
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 1
CO Medenine
01 Jun
Zarzis
1 : 0
CO Medenine
25 May
CO Medenine
1 : 1
AS Gabes
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AS Gabes

(Away)
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2
Megrine
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0
AS Gabes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jeunesse Sportive 24 16 6 2 49:14 54
2 Jendouba Sport 24 15 5 4 32:16 50
3 Korba 24 11 8 5 32:23 41
4 Hamam-Sousse 24 11 5 8 31:26 38
5 Hammam-Lif 24 10 6 8 35:25 36
6 Ariana 24 11 2 11 27:29 35
7 JS Kairouan 24 6 11 7 22:22 29
8 Oued Ellil 24 8 4 12 12:24 28
9 Kalaa 24 4 12 8 17:25 24
10 Rades 24 6 6 12 20:32 24
11 Msaken 24 6 6 12 13:23 24
12 Tabarka 24 6 6 12 20:34 24
13 Sporting Ben Arous 24 4 7 13 14:31 19
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zarzis 24 18 4 2 43:10 58
2 AS Gabes 24 17 3 4 41:14 54
3 Stade Gabesien 24 10 6 8 25:24 36
4 Moknine 24 10 5 9 29:27 35
5 Chebba 24 9 8 7 22:24 35
6 EM Mahdia 24 9 6 9 28:29 33
7 Djelma 24 8 7 9 24:27 31
8 Sidi Bouzid 24 7 9 8 24:26 30
9 Kerkennah 24 6 11 7 23:25 29
10 ES Jerba 24 8 5 11 19:26 29
11 Espoir Rogba 24 5 7 12 18:32 22
12 CO Medenine 24 4 9 11 21:30 21
13 Rejiche 24 3 4 17 17:40 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)