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CO Medenine vs ES Jerba

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Manai H.
77' Event
Mansour K.
79' Event
Ben Salah H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2023/2024 game between CO Medenine and ES Jerba finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CO Medenine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CO Medenine
30%
Draws
41%
ES Jerba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ES Jerba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • CO Medenine haven't matched ES Jerba's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CO Medenine Clean Sheet 27%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CO Medenine ES Jerba
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.93 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Ligue 2
CO Medenine vs ES Jerba
4:0
Nov 11, 2023 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs CO Medenine
1:1
May 3, 2023 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs CO Medenine
1:0
Dec 6, 2022 Ligue 2
CO Medenine vs ES Jerba
1:1
Apr 21, 2021 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs CO Medenine
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CO Medenine Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansour K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manai H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

ES Jerba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CO Medenine 38 / 100
ES Jerba 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CO Medenine ES Jerba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Jerba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CO Medenine scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

ES Jerba let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

CO Medenine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CO Medenine VS ES Jerba
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CO Medenine

(Home)
13 Jun
CO Medenine
1 : 0
Moknine
07 Jun
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 1
CO Medenine
01 Jun
Zarzis
1 : 0
CO Medenine
25 May
CO Medenine
1 : 1
AS Gabes
06 May
CO Medenine
1 : 1
Chebba
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ES Jerba

(Away)
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2
ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1
Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0
ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2
ES Jerba
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jeunesse Sportive 24 16 6 2 49:14 54
2 Jendouba Sport 24 15 5 4 32:16 50
3 Korba 24 11 8 5 32:23 41
4 Hamam-Sousse 24 11 5 8 31:26 38
5 Hammam-Lif 24 10 6 8 35:25 36
6 Ariana 24 11 2 11 27:29 35
7 JS Kairouan 24 6 11 7 22:22 29
8 Oued Ellil 24 8 4 12 12:24 28
9 Kalaa 24 4 12 8 17:25 24
10 Rades 24 6 6 12 20:32 24
11 Msaken 24 6 6 12 13:23 24
12 Tabarka 24 6 6 12 20:34 24
13 Sporting Ben Arous 24 4 7 13 14:31 19
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zarzis 24 18 4 2 43:10 58
2 AS Gabes 24 17 3 4 41:14 54
3 Stade Gabesien 24 10 6 8 25:24 36
4 Moknine 24 10 5 9 29:27 35
5 Chebba 24 9 8 7 22:24 35
6 EM Mahdia 24 9 6 9 28:29 33
7 Djelma 24 8 7 9 24:27 31
8 Sidi Bouzid 24 7 9 8 24:26 30
9 Kerkennah 24 6 11 7 23:25 29
10 ES Jerba 24 8 5 11 19:26 29
11 Espoir Rogba 24 5 7 12 18:32 22
12 CO Medenine 24 4 9 11 21:30 21
13 Rejiche 24 3 4 17 17:40 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)