Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coastal Spirit vs Miramar

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Tāne Norton Park
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Bueno M.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Bueno M.
65' Event
Tieku D.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Coastal Spirit and Miramar finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miramar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Coastal Spirit
6%
Draws
90%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Miramar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Miramar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Coastal Spirit.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Miramar.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Miramar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Spirit Miramar
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.5 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Miramar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Tieku D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Miramar Compare

Top Goalscorer Bueno M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Spirit 10 / 100
Miramar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Spirit Miramar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Spirit scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Miramar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Coastal Spirit went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Miramar lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Spirit VS Miramar
0.5 Goals Scored 2.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237