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Coastal Union vs Azam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union host Azam in the Ligi Kuu Bara. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Coastal Union at 1.27 goals for, 1.36 against; Azam at 1.81 for, 0.62 against. Past meetings favor Azam slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Azam to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Coastal Union
20%
Draws
47%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Azam come out ahead of Coastal Union on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Azam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 16%
Azam Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Azam
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 13 25
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.27 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Azam
0:2
Jan 17, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Coastal Union
3:0
Feb 19, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Azam
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Coastal Union
1:0
Aug 8, 2024 Community Shield
Azam vs Coastal Union
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 31 / 100
Azam 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Azam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Coastal Union has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Azam let in goals in 35% of their last 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Azam
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7

Azam

(Away)
16 Sept
Azam
0 : 2
Simba
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)