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Coastal Union vs Geita Gold

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union play Geita Gold in the Federation Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coastal Union averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Geita Gold averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Coastal Union won 2, Geita Gold won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 14, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Coastal Union and 1.13 for Geita Gold. This points to a Coastal Union double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Coastal Union
11%
Draws
9%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Coastal Union has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Geita Gold.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Coastal Union.
  • Cup tournament structure in Federation Cup 2023/2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Geita Gold
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Coastal Union
0:0
May 1, 2024 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
1:0
Nov 30, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
3:1
Jan 24, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Coastal Union
1:0
Oct 13, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Modzaka D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Geita Gold Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 86 / 100
Geita Gold 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Geita Gold

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Geita Gold let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Coastal Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Geita Gold lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Geita Gold
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Coastal Union1
JKT Tanzania0
Geita Gold2
Rhino Rangers1
Azam3
Mtibwa Sugar0
Namungo1
Kagera Sugar0
Kinondoni MC0
Singida Black Stars3
Mashujaa2
Simba1
Dodoma Jiji0
Young Africans2
Fountain Gate0
TRA United3
Quarter-finals
Coastal Union1
Geita Gold0
Azam4
Namungo1
Singida Black Stars1
Mashujaa0
Young Africans3
TRA United0
Semi-finals
Coastal Union0
Azam3
Singida Black Stars0
Young Africans1
Final
Azam0
Young Africans1