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Coastal Union vs Geita Gold - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup 2023/2024
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Match Events

23' Event
Modzaka D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Coastal Union advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Coastal Union
20%
Draws
29%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Coastal Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Coastal Union's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Coastal Union have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coastal Union, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Geita Gold
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.21 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Coastal Union
0:0
May 1, 2024 Federation Cup
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
1:0
Nov 30, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
3:1
Jan 24, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Coastal Union
1:0
Oct 13, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Geita Gold
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Modzaka D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Geita Gold Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 68 / 100
Geita Gold 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Geita Gold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coastal Union scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Geita Gold conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Coastal Union remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Geita Gold has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS Geita Gold
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 7

Geita Gold

(Away)
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Coastal Union 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Geita Gold 2
Rhino Rangers 1
Azam 3
Mtibwa Sugar 0
Namungo 1
Kagera Sugar 0
Kinondoni MC 0
Singida Black Stars 3
Mashujaa 2
Simba 1
Dodoma Jiji 0
Young Africans 2
Fountain Gate 0
TRA United 3
Quarter-finals
Coastal Union 1
Geita Gold 0
Azam 4
Namungo 1
Singida Black Stars 1
Mashujaa 0
Young Africans 3
TRA United 0
Semi-finals
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Singida Black Stars 0
Young Africans 1
Final
Azam 0
Young Africans 1