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Coastal Union vs KenGold Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Suleiman B.
Assist: Juma M.
37' Event
Bagayoko A.
Assist: Kikoti L.
39' Event
Lipangile S.
Assist: Gradi K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 game between Coastal Union and KenGold finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coastal Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Coastal Union
15%
Draws
0%
KenGold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coastal Union come out ahead of KenGold on wins alone.
  • Model gives Coastal Union a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 20%
KenGold Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union KenGold
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.23 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs KenGold
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Coastal Union
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Suleiman B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bagayoko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

KenGold Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipangile S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 85 / 100
KenGold 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union KenGold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KenGold's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

KenGold's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Coastal Union's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Union VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coastal Union

(Home)
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1
TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
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KenGold

(Away)
22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0
KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5
Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2
Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1
KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3
Tanzania Prisons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 27 1 2 83:10 82
2 Simba 30 25 3 2 69:13 78
3 Azam 30 19 6 5 56:19 63
4 Singida Black Stars 30 17 6 7 45:26 57
5 TRA United 30 10 8 12 28:45 38
6 JKT Tanzania 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
7 Mashujaa 30 8 11 11 29:33 35
8 Coastal Union 30 8 11 11 26:31 35
9 Namungo 30 9 8 13 28:36 35
10 Kinondoni MC 30 9 8 13 26:43 35
11 Pamba 30 8 10 12 22:33 34
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 7 14 31:49 34
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
14 Fountain Gate 30 8 5 17 32:58 29
15 Kagera Sugar 30 5 8 17 22:41 23
16 KenGold 30 3 7 20 22:62 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)